I NEVER EVER do nomination predictions… and considering my Golden Globes winner predictions, consider this attempt of mine at predicting a bit rubbish.
Oscar nominations are in about 9 days… and BAFTA nominations are in 2 days. O.O
With that said, I also found another problem… not knowing what films are considered withing the date range, so I am ONLY using films that are listed on IMDb as 2008 productions.
Also, I’m predicting almost all categories, including technical awards like Best Film Editing, Best Visual Effects – except Documentary Short, Short Film Animated, Short Film Live Action… because I haven’t seen any shorts. Also no prediction on Documentary Feature. Is Man on Wire a lock on that???
Here I go… predictions after the break~~~
Best Actor:
Richard Jenkins – The Visitor
Frank Langella – Front/Nixon
Sean Penn – Milk
Mickey Rourke – The Wrestler
Leonardo DiCaprio – Revolutionary Road / Brad Pitt – Benjamin Button
I thought Rickard Jenkins was pretty good in The Visitor, and thought GGs totally snubbed him, but Oscar could snub him in favor of Brad Pitt or Leo.
Supporting Actor:
Josh Brolin – Milk
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Doubt
Heath Ledger – The Dark Knight
James Franco – Milk
Michael Shannon – Revolutionary Road
Robert Downey Jr. could sneak in there with Tropic Thunder, but TT is not Oscar standard IMO…
Best Actress:
Kate Winslet – Revolutionary Road
Anne Hathaway – Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep – Doubt
Melissa Leo – Frozen River
Sally Hawkins – Happy-Go-Lucky
Though, they could favor Angelina just to not snub her and Brad for ratings… instead of either Leo or even Hawkins
Supporting Actress:
Penelope Cruz – Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis – Doubt
Tanji P. Henson – Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet – The Reader
Amy Adams – Doubt
Though they could snub Amy Adams for Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler…
Director:
Danny Boyle – Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Gus Van Sant – Milk
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Sam Mendes – Revolutionary Road
But would like to see Tom McCarthy with The Visitor sneak in there instead Howard, and/or Nolan for The Dark Knight instead of Mendes~~ or something like that. xD
Best Film:
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
Milk
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
Though I would like to see TDK sneak in instead of Frost/Nixon, and maybe I can see Revolutionary Road or The Reader sneaking there… since The Reader is so holocaust-y.
Now, onto the others…
Animated Feature:
Wall-E
Waltz with Bashir
Kung Fu Panda
… or could be Bolt instead. I mean, this is sealed for WALL-E, right? LOL – I wish Bolt gets snubbed JUST BECAUSE!
Art Direction:
Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Australia
Revolutionary Road
The Dark Knight
It’s a toss in here for me… they could favor other Comic Book films like Iron Man, Hellboy 2. They could even favor Prince Caspian? Or WALL-E and/or Slumdog Millionaire?
Cinematography:
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
Australia
WALL-E
Milk
Another toss for me… I mean, they could favor The Wrestler or even The Duchess.
Costume Design:
Benjamin Button
Australia
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Doubt
Another toss… maybe The Dark Knight? Or an epic that’s slipping my mind… xD
Film Editing:
Iron Man
Wanted
WALL-E
Slumdog Millionaire
Frost/Nixon
When thinking of editing, I think of fast quick action packed films (after all, Bourne won last year) – so here, I’m favoring films like Wanted (really, Amy??)… but maybe that’s snub for Quantum of Solace? (O.o ~~~) Is Man on Wire (the documentary) a possible candidate? Coz that was brilliant editing, I thought~~~ or is it against some rule to nominated a documentary for Best Film Editing??? xD Maybe Benjamin Button can sneak in here??
Foreign Film:
The Class
Waltz with Bashir
Baader Meinhof Complex
3 Monkeys
Everlasting Moments
I’m cheating a bit on this one, since the Academy already reduced the list to 9. I still think Okuribito (Departures) from Japan could sneak in there instead of any of the last three~~~
Make-up:
The Reader
Benjamin Button (was it Make-up??? CGI??? Mixed???)
The Dark Knight
I’m not sure if Benjamin Button had make-up, or was it mixed, or if it was all CGI~~ In any case, Hellboy 2 or even Prince Caspian could sneak there somehow… O.O
Original Score:
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
WALL-E
Milk
Australia
Give me another toss here, including The Dark Knight, Milk, Changeling, or Frost/Nixon
Original Song:
The Wrestler – “The Wrestler”
WALL-E – “Down to Earth”
Slumdog Millionaire – “Jai Ho”
Quantum of Solace – “Another Way to Die”
Gran Torino – “Gran Torino”
The lack of original songs for films on the list of films that I saw baffles me a little bit~~ Makes no wonder why Miley gets nominated for best original song… THERE’S NO ORIGINAL SONGS WRITTEN FOR MOVIES ANYMORE!!! So I’m throwing in there Bolt with “I Thought I Lost You” *knocks on wood* – and Australia with “By the Boab Tree”.
Sound Editing:
Iron Man
WALL-E
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Throwing in here Quantum of Solace or Wanted too… you know, same action-packed theory~
Sound Mixing:
WALL-E
Iron Man
The Dark Knight
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
LOL’ without noticing, same as above~~~ Quantum or Wanted also. Same, same.
Visual Effects:
Benjamin Button
Iron Man
Australia
Did The Dark Knight had many special effects? Scares me that The Day the Earth Stood Still could get in here~~ xD
Original Screenplay:
Milk
The Visitor
Australia
Frozen River
Rachel Getting Married
This year is big on adaptations, so not many big name films on this category. I could see Vicky Cristina Barcelona sneaking there, maybe snubbing Australia or The Visitor.
Adapted Screenplay:
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
Doubt
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
All or most the fave films are adapted this year, so this one is tough. Frost/Nixon could get in here instead of Revolutionary Road maybe???
Well, that’s it~~ what you think? As you can see… I did enjoy Australia, maybe would’ve enjoyed it more if it wasn’t an epic. Also according to my nominations predictions Benjamin Button could be up for 12-14 awards, depending where it fits in Makeup, Film Editing, Best Actor even? And Slumdog could be up to 9-10 perhaps? Depending if it gets any acting nod~~
Okay, I’m tired of counting… LOL’ Your thoughts?