Testing my Luck on Oscar Nom Predictions~

I NEVER EVER do nomination predictions… and considering my Golden Globes winner predictions, consider this attempt of mine at predicting a bit rubbish.

Oscar nominations are in about 9 days… and BAFTA nominations are in 2 days. O.O

With that said, I also found another problem… not knowing what films are considered withing the date range, so I am ONLY using films that are listed on IMDb as 2008 productions.

Also, I’m predicting almost all categories, including technical awards like Best Film Editing, Best Visual Effects – except Documentary Short, Short Film Animated, Short Film Live Action… because I haven’t seen any shorts. Also no prediction on Documentary Feature. Is Man on Wire a lock on that???

Here I go… predictions after the break~~~

Best Actor:
Richard Jenkins – The Visitor
Frank Langella – Front/Nixon
Sean Penn – Milk
Mickey Rourke – The Wrestler
Leonardo DiCaprio – Revolutionary Road / Brad Pitt – Benjamin Button

I thought Rickard Jenkins was pretty good in The Visitor, and thought GGs totally snubbed him, but Oscar could snub him in favor of Brad Pitt or Leo.

Supporting Actor:
Josh Brolin – Milk
Philip Seymour Hoffman – Doubt
Heath Ledger – The Dark Knight
James Franco – Milk
Michael Shannon – Revolutionary Road

Robert Downey Jr. could sneak in there with Tropic Thunder, but TT is not Oscar standard  IMO…

Best Actress:
Kate Winslet – Revolutionary Road
Anne Hathaway – Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep – Doubt
Melissa Leo – Frozen River
Sally Hawkins – Happy-Go-Lucky

Though, they could favor Angelina just to not snub her and Brad for ratings… instead of either Leo or even Hawkins

Supporting Actress:
Penelope Cruz – Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis – Doubt
Tanji P. Henson – Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet – The Reader
Amy Adams – Doubt

Though they could snub Amy Adams for Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler…

Director:
Danny Boyle – Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Gus Van Sant – Milk
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Sam Mendes – Revolutionary Road

But would like to see Tom McCarthy with The Visitor sneak in there instead Howard, and/or Nolan for The Dark Knight instead of Mendes~~ or something like that. xD

Best Film:
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
Milk
Doubt
Frost/Nixon

Though I would like to see TDK sneak in instead of Frost/Nixon, and maybe I can see Revolutionary Road or The Reader sneaking there… since The Reader is so holocaust-y.

Now, onto the others…

Animated Feature:
Wall-E
Waltz with Bashir
Kung Fu Panda

… or could be Bolt instead. I mean, this is sealed for WALL-E, right? LOL – I wish Bolt gets snubbed JUST BECAUSE!

Art Direction:
Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Australia
Revolutionary Road
The Dark Knight

It’s a toss in here for me… they could favor other Comic Book films like Iron Man, Hellboy 2. They could even favor Prince Caspian? Or WALL-E and/or Slumdog Millionaire?

Cinematography:
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
Australia
WALL-E
Milk

Another toss for me… I mean, they could favor The Wrestler or even The Duchess.

Costume Design:
Benjamin Button
Australia
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Doubt

Another toss… maybe The Dark Knight? Or an epic that’s slipping my mind… xD

Film Editing:
Iron Man
Wanted
WALL-E
Slumdog Millionaire
Frost/Nixon

When thinking of editing, I think of fast quick action packed films (after all, Bourne won last year) – so here, I’m favoring films like Wanted (really, Amy??)… but maybe that’s snub for Quantum of Solace? (O.o ~~~)  Is Man on Wire (the documentary) a possible candidate? Coz that was brilliant editing, I thought~~~ or is it against some rule to nominated a documentary for Best Film Editing??? xD Maybe Benjamin Button can sneak in here??

Foreign Film:
The Class
Waltz with Bashir
Baader Meinhof Complex
3 Monkeys
Everlasting Moments

I’m cheating a bit on this one, since the Academy already reduced the list to 9. I still think Okuribito (Departures) from Japan could sneak in there instead of any of the last three~~~

Make-up:
The Reader
Benjamin Button (was it Make-up??? CGI??? Mixed???)
The Dark Knight

I’m not sure if Benjamin Button had make-up, or was it mixed, or if it was all CGI~~ In any case, Hellboy 2 or even Prince Caspian could sneak there somehow… O.O

Original Score:
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
WALL-E
Milk
Australia

Give me another toss here, including The Dark Knight, Milk, Changeling, or Frost/Nixon

Original Song:
The Wrestler – “The Wrestler”
WALL-E – “Down to Earth”
Slumdog Millionaire – “Jai Ho”
Quantum of Solace – “Another Way to Die”
Gran Torino – “Gran Torino”

The lack of original songs for films on the list of films that I saw baffles me a little bit~~ Makes no wonder why Miley gets nominated for best original song… THERE’S NO ORIGINAL SONGS WRITTEN FOR MOVIES ANYMORE!!! So I’m throwing in there Bolt with “I Thought I Lost You” *knocks on wood* – and Australia with “By the Boab Tree”.

Sound Editing:
Iron Man
WALL-E
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight

Throwing in here Quantum of Solace or Wanted too… you know, same action-packed theory~

Sound Mixing:
WALL-E
Iron Man
The Dark Knight
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire

LOL’ without noticing, same as above~~~ Quantum or Wanted also. Same, same.

Visual Effects:
Benjamin Button
Iron Man
Australia

Did The Dark Knight had many special effects? Scares me that The Day the Earth Stood Still could get in here~~ xD

Original Screenplay:
Milk
The Visitor
Australia
Frozen River
Rachel Getting Married

This year is big on adaptations, so not many big name films on this category. I could see Vicky Cristina Barcelona sneaking there, maybe snubbing Australia or The Visitor.

Adapted Screenplay:
Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
Doubt
The Reader
Revolutionary Road

All or most the fave films are adapted this year, so this one is tough. Frost/Nixon could get in here instead of Revolutionary Road maybe???

Well, that’s it~~ what you think? As you can see… I did enjoy Australia, maybe would’ve enjoyed it more if it wasn’t an epic. Also according to my nominations predictions Benjamin Button could be up for 12-14 awards, depending where it fits in Makeup, Film Editing, Best Actor even? And Slumdog could be up to 9-10 perhaps? Depending if it gets any acting nod~~

Okay, I’m tired of counting… LOL’ Your thoughts?